Reliability, Maintenance & Managing Risk Conference

July 25-26, 2024
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Risk Management In the Real World
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Program 2024

Work in progress, changes still possible

Pre-Conference Course – Wed, July 24, 2024

Weibull Analysis & Risk Forecasting
• 8:30 am – 4:30 pm
• Lunch included
• In-class work problems – bring your laptop

Outline
• Weibull analysis – what is it?
• Weibull Plots

o Estimation methods
o Understanding confidence bands

• Goodness-of-Fit measures
• Interpret Results

o Infant mortality, Random/Constant, Wear-out

• Weibayes Analysis, 3-parameter Weibull
• Risk Forecasting

o Issues: Mitigation effectiveness, population growth

• In-class examples


Instructor:

Trevor Craney, ASQ Fellow, CRE, CQE


Bio:

Trevor Craney is a Sr. Tech Fellow for Statistics, Risk & Reliability at
Collins Aerospace. He has primary responsibility for safety risk analyses,
including performing analysis, training and evaluating individuals to be
authorized risk analysts. Trevor holds an MS degree in Statistics from the
University of South Carolina, an MS degree in Industrial & Systems
Engineering from the University of Florida, and an MS degree in
Reliability Engineering from the University of Maryland.

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